Tuesday, October 13, 2020

Per Capita Daily Infection Rates Explode in "Red States"

Trump blames the extent of pandemic cases on "blue states" and their Democratic leadership.  It's true that the states with the highest case rates are more populous states which tend to be more Democratic oriented.  But, the key is that they have larger populations so in gross numbers of cases/deaths these states tend to be at the top of Trump's list.  However, if the cases/deaths are broken out on a per capita basis, then the impact of Covid-19 shifts dramatically to "red states".

From a trend perspective, low population "red states" are far more dangerous than "blue states".  Take North and South Dakota for example.  If you look at the peak daily combined infection rate in New York and New Jersey at their peak, it averaged 538.1 infections per 1,000,000 inhabitants.  It you look at the 14 day rolling average in the Dakotas right now, both of those states exceed the NY/NJ  peak daily average and the rate is climbing.



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